The Black Swan

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The Black Swan

Product information

Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Type: Paperback

ISBN: 9780141034591

Date: 28th February, 2008

Publisher: PENGUIN BOOKS

  1. Categories

  2. Probability And Statistics
  3. Topics In Philosophy
  4. Decision Theory

Description

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. 'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday 'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent

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